Olancho 3-2 Lobos UPNFM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.9
Over 2.5
58%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
62%
-7.7pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.4pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
49%
-6.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
51%
+6.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olancho EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 19%
-10% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.84/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.73
-9% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olancho
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Lobos UPNFM
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
23.02.2025 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-1 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
06.10.2024 Olancho Olancho 4-0 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
04.08.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
07.04.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 0-1 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
11.02.2024 Olancho Olancho 0-0 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
12.11.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 2-2 HT 1-2 Olancho Olancho HON
FAQ Olancho vs Lobos UPNFM
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Olancho edged past Lobos UPNFM 3-2 in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 28 Apr 2025. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 58% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olancho have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Olancho and 0.67 for Lobos UPNFM.

What was the final score of Olancho vs Lobos UPNFM?

Olancho 3-2 Lobos UPNFM in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olancho vs Lobos UPNFM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Olancho 55%, draw 24%, Lobos UPNFM 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olancho), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olancho) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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