Lobos UPNFM 1-0 Olancho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.6
Over 2.5
34%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.96
No
62%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
24%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.1pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.3pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+7.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-7.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.4pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Olancho EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
0.84/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.04
-30% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
273 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobos UPNFM
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Olancho
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
07.04.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 0-1 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
11.02.2024 Olancho Olancho 0-0 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
12.11.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 2-2 HT 1-2 Olancho Olancho HON
17.09.2023 Olancho Olancho 2-1 HT 1-1 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
02.04.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
06.02.2023 Olancho Olancho 4-1 HT 3-1 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
FAQ Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Lobos UPNFM edged past Olancho 1-0 in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 4 Aug 2024. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams scoring was against the odds at 38%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olancho lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lobos UPNFM and 1.50 for Olancho.

What was the final score of Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho?

Lobos UPNFM 1-0 Olancho in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lobos UPNFM 28%, draw 34%, Olancho 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Olancho) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olancho) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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