CD Victoria 2-2 Genesis PN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.7pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.9pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.37/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.71
+7% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +68%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Genesis PN
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
14.03.2024 Genesis PN 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
28.01.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-1 HT 0-0 Genesis PN HON
12.11.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-2 HT 2-2 Genesis PN HON
18.09.2023 Genesis PN 3-1 HT 2-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs Genesis PN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Victoria and Genesis PN couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Genesis PN led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CD Victoria and 1.50 for Genesis PN.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs Genesis PN?

CD Victoria 2-2 Genesis PN in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs Genesis PN?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Victoria win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 34%, draw 32%, Genesis PN 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Victoria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
4 Aug 2024
00:00 Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho Analysis →
02:15 Real Espana vs Motagua Analysis →