CD Victoria 1-1 Genesis PN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.07
Over 2.5
44%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 37%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.40/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+6% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -40%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
323 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Genesis PN
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
12.11.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-2 HT 2-2 Genesis PN HON
18.09.2023 Genesis PN 3-1 HT 2-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs Genesis PN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Victoria and Genesis PN shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was CD Victoria at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Genesis PN led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CD Victoria and 2.50 for Genesis PN.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs Genesis PN?

CD Victoria 1-1 Genesis PN in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs Genesis PN?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Victoria win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 41%, draw 28%, Genesis PN 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CD Victoria), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Victoria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
28 Jan 2024
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