Real Espana 1-0 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 4 Aug 2024

Real Espana
1-0 HT 1-0
Motagua
📅04/08/2024 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2024/2025

Real Espana vs Motagua Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.86
Over 2.5
39%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-7.5pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.0pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
50%
+10.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
50%
-10.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Espana v Motagua — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.57/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.06
+16% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 4.1

Real Espana vs Motagua Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Motagua
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.04.2024 Motagua Motagua 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
28.01.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 3-1 HT 2-1 Motagua Motagua HON
29.10.2023 Motagua Motagua 4-1 HT 2-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
04.09.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 3-3 HT 1-2 Motagua Motagua HON
05.03.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 0-3 HT 0-2 Motagua Motagua HON
26.01.2023 Motagua Motagua 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana nicked a narrow win over Motagua 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 33% / 35% — and on the day Real Espana made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Espana and 2.17 for Motagua.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs Motagua?

Real Espana 1-0 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 32%, draw 33%, Motagua 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Motagua) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Motagua) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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