Marathon 1-2 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marathon EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +1%
1.30/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.82
+4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marathon
1W-3D-2L
AWAY CD Olimpia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
24.02.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-0 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
07.10.2024 Marathon Marathon 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
05.08.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-2 HT 1-2 Marathon Marathon HON
26.05.2024 Marathon Marathon 2-2 HT 1-2 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
20.05.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-1 HT 1-1 Marathon Marathon HON
18.04.2024 Marathon Marathon 2-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH Marathon vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia nicked a narrow win over Marathon 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; CD Olimpia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Marathon and 1.50 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of Marathon vs CD Olimpia?

Marathon 1-2 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marathon vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Marathon 36%, draw 29%, CD Olimpia 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Marathon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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