Lobos UPNFM 1-1 Olancho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
29%
+8.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
44%
-9.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Olancho EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
0.95/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.73
-13% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +47%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
298 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobos UPNFM
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Olancho
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
06.10.2024 Olancho Olancho 4-0 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
04.08.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
07.04.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 0-1 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
11.02.2024 Olancho Olancho 0-0 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
12.11.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 2-2 HT 1-2 Olancho Olancho HON
17.09.2023 Olancho Olancho 2-1 HT 1-1 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
FAQ Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Lobos UPNFM and Olancho shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 23 Feb 2025. Half-time: 0-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olancho lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lobos UPNFM and 1.50 for Olancho.

What was the final score of Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho?

Lobos UPNFM 1-1 Olancho in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lobos UPNFM win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lobos UPNFM 38%, draw 28%, Olancho 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lobos UPNFM), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lobos UPNFM) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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