CD Victoria 1-0 CD Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -18%
1.77/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.38
+13% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
1W-1D-4L
AWAY CD Real Sociedad
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
08.11.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-3 HT 1-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
01.09.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
11.03.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
22.01.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 3-2 HT 2-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
20.10.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
21.08.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs CD Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Victoria squeezed past CD Real Sociedad 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CD Victoria as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Real Sociedad led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CD Victoria and 1.33 for CD Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs CD Real Sociedad?

CD Victoria 1-0 CD Real Sociedad in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs CD Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Victoria win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 45%, draw 29%, CD Real Sociedad 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Victoria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Victoria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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