CD Victoria 1-0 CD Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 11 Mar 2024

CD Victoria
1-0 HT 1-0
CD Real Sociedad
📅11/03/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2023/2024

CD Victoria vs CD Real Sociedad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.61
No
56%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.9pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.8pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CD Victoria v CD Real Sociedad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 36%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.43/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/0.76
+2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +82%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

CD Victoria vs CD Real Sociedad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CD Real Sociedad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 20
10 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.01.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 3-2 HT 2-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
20.10.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
21.08.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
10.04.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 3-0 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
12.02.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-1 HT 2-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
24.10.2022 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 2-5 HT 2-2 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs CD Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Victoria nicked a narrow win over CD Real Sociedad 1-0.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) promised a tight game; CD Victoria found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Real Sociedad led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CD Victoria and 1.67 for CD Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs CD Real Sociedad?

CD Victoria 1-0 CD Real Sociedad in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs CD Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Victoria win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 41%, draw 23%, CD Real Sociedad 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Victoria), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Victoria) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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