CD Real Sociedad 3-2 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 22 Jan 2024

📅22/01/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
13%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -20%
1.27/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.57
-12% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Real Sociedad
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CD Victoria
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
21.08.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
10.04.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 3-0 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
12.02.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-1 HT 2-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
24.10.2022 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 2-5 HT 2-2 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
28.08.2022 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
POST-MATCH CD Real Sociedad vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Real Sociedad edged past CD Victoria 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CD Real Sociedad as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Victoria led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CD Real Sociedad and 1.33 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of CD Real Sociedad vs CD Victoria?

CD Real Sociedad 3-2 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Real Sociedad vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split CD Real Sociedad 44%, draw 30%, CD Victoria 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Real Sociedad) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Real Sociedad) ✗ Under 2.5
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