Genesis PN 2-2 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 22 Jan 2024

📅22/01/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
32%
4.34
Away
45%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.1
Over 2.5
40%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
14%
+9.0pp
32%
Draw
20%
+12.4pp
45%
Away Win
67%
-21.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
44%
+15.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
56%
-15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 71%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.87
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +22%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genesis PN
0W-0D-4L
AWAY CD Olimpia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
11.12.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-0 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
08.12.2023 Genesis PN 0-1 HT 0-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
26.11.2023 Genesis PN 1-2 HT 0-2 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
22.09.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 4-1 HT 2-0 Genesis PN HON
POST-MATCH Genesis PN vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genesis PN and CD Olimpia couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was CD Olimpia at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Genesis PN and 2.25 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of Genesis PN vs CD Olimpia?

Genesis PN 2-2 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genesis PN vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Genesis PN 23%, draw 32%, CD Olimpia 45%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Olimpia), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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