CD Olimpia 4-0 Genesis PN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.3
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
18%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.51
No
52%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
73%
-14.5pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.6pp
18%
Away Win
9%
+8.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
36%
+12.4pp
52%
BTTS No
64%
-12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 11%
-7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.20/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.66
+0% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +31%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
480 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Genesis PN
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
22.01.2024 Genesis PN 2-2 HT 2-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
11.12.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-0 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
08.12.2023 Genesis PN 0-1 HT 0-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
26.11.2023 Genesis PN 1-2 HT 0-2 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
22.09.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 4-1 HT 2-0 Genesis PN HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs Genesis PN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia ran out comfortable winners over Genesis PN 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CD Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for CD Olimpia and 0.80 for Genesis PN.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs Genesis PN?

CD Olimpia 4-0 Genesis PN in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs Genesis PN?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 58%, draw 24%, Genesis PN 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Olimpia), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✓ BTTS No
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