Olancho 0-0 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 11 Mar 2024

Olancho
0-0 HT 0-0
Motagua
📅11/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2023/2024

Olancho vs Motagua Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
23%
2.94
Away
48%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.7pp
23%
Draw
30%
-7.9pp
48%
Away Win
36%
+12.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Olancho v Motagua — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olancho EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.29/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.13
-5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 4.1

Olancho vs Motagua Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olancho
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Motagua
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.31 xG 0.56
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
238 Passes 195
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Crosses 12
6 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.01.2024 Motagua Motagua 2-2 HT 0-2 Olancho Olancho HON
04.12.2023 Motagua Motagua 1-1 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
01.12.2023 Olancho Olancho 2-2 HT 2-1 Motagua Motagua HON
06.11.2023 Olancho Olancho 0-1 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
14.09.2023 Motagua Motagua 1-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
18.08.2023 Motagua Motagua 1-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho CONOAK
POST-MATCH Olancho vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olancho and Motagua fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Motagua at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Olancho and 1.33 for Motagua.

What was the final score of Olancho vs Motagua?

Olancho 0-0 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olancho vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Olancho 29%, draw 23%, Motagua 48%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Motagua) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Motagua) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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