CD Victoria 2-3 CD Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
56%
+2.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-0.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -18%
1.90/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.83
+8% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
1W-1D-4L
AWAY CD Real Sociedad
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
01.09.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
11.03.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
22.01.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 3-2 HT 2-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
20.10.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
21.08.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
10.04.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 3-0 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs CD Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Real Sociedad nicked a narrow win over CD Victoria 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. CD Victoria carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Real Sociedad led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CD Victoria and 1.33 for CD Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs CD Real Sociedad?

CD Victoria 2-3 CD Real Sociedad in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs CD Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Victoria win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 58%, draw 23%, CD Real Sociedad 19%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Victoria) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Victoria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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