CD Real Sociedad 1-0 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.75
Over 2.5
36%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
53%
+10.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
47%
-10.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.3pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -23%
1.49/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.65
+1% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Real Sociedad
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CD Victoria
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 1
11.03.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
22.01.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 3-2 HT 2-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
20.10.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
21.08.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
10.04.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 3-0 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
12.02.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-1 HT 2-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
POST-MATCH CD Real Sociedad vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Real Sociedad edged past CD Victoria 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CD Real Sociedad as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Real Sociedad had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CD Real Sociedad and 0.83 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of CD Real Sociedad vs CD Victoria?

CD Real Sociedad 1-0 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Real Sociedad vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split CD Real Sociedad 45%, draw 27%, CD Victoria 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Real Sociedad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Real Sociedad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
1 Sep 2024
00:00 Lobos UPNFM vs Juticalpa Analysis →
02:15 Olancho vs Genesis PN Analysis →