Olancho 4-0 Genesis PN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 1 Sep 2024

Olancho
4-0 HT 1-0
Genesis PN
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2025/2026

Olancho vs Genesis PN Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.4
No
52%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-8.2pp
33%
Draw
25%
+7.9pp
15%
Away Win
15%
+0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
38%
+10.4pp
52%
BTTS No
62%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Olancho v Genesis PN — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olancho EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 18%
-21% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.18/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.46
-43% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Olancho vs Genesis PN Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olancho
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Genesis PN
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
3 Corners 4
The Meetings
06.05.2024 Olancho Olancho 0-0 HT 0-0 Genesis PN HON
03.05.2024 Genesis PN 1-0 HT 1-0 Olancho Olancho HON
21.04.2024 Genesis PN 0-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
26.02.2024 Olancho Olancho 1-0 HT 0-0 Genesis PN HON
30.10.2023 Genesis PN 2-2 HT 1-1 Olancho Olancho HON
04.09.2023 Olancho Olancho 1-2 HT 1-1 Genesis PN HON
POST-MATCH Olancho vs Genesis PN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olancho ran out comfortable winners over Genesis PN 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Olancho as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genesis PN led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Olancho and 0.83 for Genesis PN.

What was the final score of Olancho vs Genesis PN?

Olancho 4-0 Genesis PN in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olancho vs Genesis PN?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Olancho 52%, draw 33%, Genesis PN 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olancho), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olancho) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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