Lobos UPNFM 4-1 Juticalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
26%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.82
No
60%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+5.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
26%
Away Win
31%
-5.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.7pp
60%
BTTS No
49%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Juticalpa EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+10% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Lobos UPNFM vs Juticalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lobos UPNFM cruised past Juticalpa 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lobos UPNFM as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Lobos UPNFM vs Juticalpa?

Lobos UPNFM 4-1 Juticalpa in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobos UPNFM vs Juticalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lobos UPNFM win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lobos UPNFM 48%, draw 26%, Juticalpa 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lobos UPNFM) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lobos UPNFM) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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