Cerro Largo 0-1 Tacuarembo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay Cup, 11 Sep 2025

📅11/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Tacuarembo EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Largo
0-1
AWAY Tacuarembo
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Cerro Largo vs Tacuarembo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tacuarembo edged past Cerro Largo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cerro Largo at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cerro Largo had 57% of the ball to Tacuarembo's 43%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Tacuarembo?

Cerro Largo 0-1 Tacuarembo in the Uruguay Cup on 11/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs Tacuarembo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Largo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 47%, draw 27%, Tacuarembo 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cerro Largo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Largo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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