Alloa Athletic 1-0 Arbroath — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 11 Oct 2024

Alloa Athletic
1-0 HT 1-0
Arbroath
📅11/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - Challenge Cup – 2024/2025

Alloa Athletic vs Arbroath Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.27
Draw
20%
3.28
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.17
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.7
6+ Goals
10%
15.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
40%
+8.2pp
19%
Draw
27%
-7.4pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alloa Athletic v Arbroath — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Arbroath EU Bookmakers 37%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+49% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Alloa Athletic vs Arbroath Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alloa Athletic
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Arbroath
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
The Meetings
31.08.2024 Arbroath Arbroath 0-0 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
03.04.2021 Arbroath Arbroath 2-1 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKCL
13.02.2021 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
12.12.2020 Arbroath Arbroath 0-1 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKCL
21.01.2020 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-0 HT 2-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
02.11.2019 Arbroath Arbroath 2-1 HT 2-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKCL
POST-MATCH Alloa Athletic vs Arbroath
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alloa Athletic edged past Arbroath 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alloa Athletic as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alloa Athletic and 0.83 for Arbroath.

What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs Arbroath?

Alloa Athletic 1-0 Arbroath in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs Arbroath?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 48%, draw 19%, Arbroath 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alloa Athletic), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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