Vanersborgs FK 0-4 IFK Kumla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
2.63
Over 2.5
70%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%
1.38
No
30%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.7pp
30%
Under 2.5
34%
-3.9pp
70%
Over 2.5
66%
+3.9pp
70%
BTTS Yes
68%
+1.4pp
30%
BTTS No
32%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Kumla EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.93/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/3.06
+14% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -48%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 7
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanersborgs FK
1W-0D-3L
AWAY IFK Kumla
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
15.06.2024 IFK Kumla 3-2 HT 1-1 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
09.04.2022 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 0-1 HT 0-1 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
16.10.2021 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 4-1 HT 4-1 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
14.08.2021 IFK Kumla 1-0 HT 0-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vanersborgs FK
0-4
AWAY IFK Kumla
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs FK vs IFK Kumla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Kumla swept aside Vanersborgs FK 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had IFK Kumla as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (70%) landed while both teams to score (70%) missed.

On the day, Vanersborgs FK had 52% of the ball to IFK Kumla's 48%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, IFK Kumla led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vanersborgs FK and 1.50 for IFK Kumla.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs FK vs IFK Kumla?

Vanersborgs FK 0-4 IFK Kumla in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs FK vs IFK Kumla?

Before kick-off our model rated an IFK Kumla win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs FK 34%, draw 24%, IFK Kumla 42%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Kumla), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IFK Kumla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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