IFK Kumla 3-2 Vanersborgs FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
48%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.59
Over 2.5
66%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.39
No
31%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
34%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
45%
-20.7pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
48%
Away Win
31%
+17.0pp
34%
Under 2.5
35%
-0.9pp
66%
Over 2.5
65%
+0.9pp
69%
BTTS Yes
68%
+1.2pp
31%
BTTS No
32%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Kumla EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.07/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/2.18
+8% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Kumla
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Vanersborgs FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
09.04.2022 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 0-1 HT 0-1 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
16.10.2021 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 4-1 HT 4-1 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
14.08.2021 IFK Kumla 1-0 HT 0-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Kumla vs Vanersborgs FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Kumla nicked a narrow win over Vanersborgs FK 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Vanersborgs FK at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (69%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, IFK Kumla had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for IFK Kumla and 1.33 for Vanersborgs FK.

What was the final score of IFK Kumla vs Vanersborgs FK?

IFK Kumla 3-2 Vanersborgs FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Kumla vs Vanersborgs FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vanersborgs FK win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split IFK Kumla 24%, draw 28%, Vanersborgs FK 48%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vanersborgs FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vanersborgs FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
15 Jun 2024
13:00 Kiruna FF vs Ytterhogdal Analysis →
14:00 Jonsereds IF vs IK Tord Analysis →
14:00 Umea FC Akademi vs IFK Lulea Analysis →
14:00 Herrestads vs Motala AIF FK Analysis →
14:00 Landvetter IS vs Hittarps IK Analysis →
15:00 Säffle SK vs Grebbestads IF Analysis →