Umea FC Akademi 0-1 IFK Lulea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
14%
3.8
Away
60%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.96
Over 2.5
68%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.38
No
37%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
19%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
32%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-3.6pp
15%
Draw
23%
-8.1pp
60%
Away Win
48%
+11.7pp
32%
Under 2.5
30%
+1.5pp
68%
Over 2.5
70%
-1.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.4pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umea FC Akademi EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Lulea EU Bookmakers 52%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.81/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.63
+17% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umea FC Akademi
0W-0D-2L
AWAY IFK Lulea
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
31.07.2022 Umea FC Akademi 1-5 HT 0-2 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea İSÇ4
03.04.2022 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea 3-0 HT 2-0 Umea FC Akademi İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Umea FC Akademi vs IFK Lulea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Lulea squeezed past Umea FC Akademi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had IFK Lulea as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, IFK Lulea led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Umea FC Akademi and 4.00 for IFK Lulea.

What was the final score of Umea FC Akademi vs IFK Lulea?

Umea FC Akademi 0-1 IFK Lulea in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umea FC Akademi vs IFK Lulea?

Before kick-off our model rated an IFK Lulea win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Umea FC Akademi 26%, draw 15%, IFK Lulea 60%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Lulea) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IFK Lulea) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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