15/06/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
Astrio vs Öckerö Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
73%
18%
Draw
16%
18%
Away Win
11%
37%
Under 2.5
30%
63%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
50%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Astrio v Öckerö — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Astrio
EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY
Öckerö
EU Bookmakers 14%
+5% /
-4%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-19% /
-19%
2.62/0.79
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/2.00
+1%
/
+28%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+28%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
17
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
3
430 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
293 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.6
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Astrio vs Öckerö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Astrio edged past Öckerö 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Astrio as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.
What was the final score of Astrio vs Öckerö?
Astrio 2-1 Öckerö in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Astrio vs Öckerö?
Before kick-off our model rated a Astrio win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Astrio 63%, draw 18%, Öckerö 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Astrio), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Astrio)
✓ Over 2.5
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