Herrestads 2-1 Motala AIF FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
33%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.51
Over 2.5
66%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.55
No
35%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-8.9pp
18%
Draw
22%
-4.1pp
33%
Away Win
20%
+13.0pp
34%
Under 2.5
36%
-1.7pp
66%
Over 2.5
64%
+1.7pp
65%
BTTS Yes
60%
+4.5pp
35%
BTTS No
40%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Herrestads EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Motala AIF FK EU Bookmakers 23%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.69/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/3.97
-26% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -50%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Herrestads vs Motala AIF FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Herrestads nicked a narrow win over Motala AIF FK 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Herrestads as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

What was the final score of Herrestads vs Motala AIF FK?

Herrestads 2-1 Motala AIF FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Herrestads vs Motala AIF FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Herrestads win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Herrestads 49%, draw 18%, Motala AIF FK 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Herrestads), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Herrestads) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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