Algeciras 2-3 Hercules — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.87
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.2pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Algeciras EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Hercules EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -16%
1.26/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.32
+1% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Algeciras
2-3
AWAY Hercules
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Algeciras vs Hercules
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hercules squeezed past Algeciras 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Hercules found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Algeciras had 55% of the ball to Hercules's 45%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of Algeciras vs Hercules?

Algeciras 2-3 Hercules in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Algeciras vs Hercules?

Before kick-off our model rated a Algeciras win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Algeciras 36%, draw 30%, Hercules 34%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Algeciras) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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