Athletic Bilbao II 0-0 Ponferradina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.08
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
6.19
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.1pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.4pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 33%
-12% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.02/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.76
-19% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +46%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 9.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ponferradina
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
364 Passes 200
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
27.02.2016 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 4-2 HT 2-1 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS2
26.09.2015 Ponferradina Ponferradina 1-0 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
0-0
AWAY Ponferradina
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao II vs Ponferradina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao II and Ponferradina fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao II had 61% of the ball to Ponferradina's 39%, shots finished 12-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Athletic Bilbao II and 1.50 for Ponferradina.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao II vs Ponferradina?

Athletic Bilbao II 0-0 Ponferradina in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao II vs Ponferradina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao II win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao II 36%, draw 27%, Ponferradina 36%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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