Dinamo Minsk II 2-2 Orsha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.15
Over Pick
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
40%
4-5
23%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-4.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Minsk II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Orsha EU Bookmakers 27%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.50/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.86
-24% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Minsk II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Orsha
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
16.06.2024 Orsha Orsha 1-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Minsk II Dinamo Minsk II BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Minsk II
2-2
AWAY Orsha
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dinamo Minsk II vs Orsha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Minsk II and Orsha couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Minsk II at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dinamo Minsk II had 39% of the ball to Orsha's 61%, shots finished 7-12.

What was the final score of Dinamo Minsk II vs Orsha?

Dinamo Minsk II 2-2 Orsha in the Belarus - 1st Division on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Minsk II vs Orsha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Minsk II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Minsk II 48%, draw 24%, Orsha 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dinamo Minsk II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Minsk II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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