Orsha 1-0 Dinamo Minsk II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.0
Over
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
45%
4-5
25%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-7.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orsha EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Minsk II EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+25% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orsha
1-0
AWAY Dinamo Minsk II
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Orsha vs Dinamo Minsk II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orsha nicked a narrow win over Dinamo Minsk II 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Orsha found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orsha had 48% of the ball to Dinamo Minsk II's 52%, shots finished 4-10.

What was the final score of Orsha vs Dinamo Minsk II?

Orsha 1-0 Dinamo Minsk II in the Belarus - 1st Division on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orsha vs Dinamo Minsk II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Minsk II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Orsha 32%, draw 30%, Dinamo Minsk II 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dinamo Minsk II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Minsk II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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