Niva Dolbizno 3-1 Dnepr Rogachev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
42%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
39%
4-5
17%
6+
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
19%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niva Dolbizno EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Dnepr Rogachev EU Bookmakers 42%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
1.00/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
-33% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +117% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Niva Dolbizno
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Dnepr Rogachev
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 5.50
42% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 12
4 Yellow Cards 4
21.10.2023 Dnepr Rogachev Dnepr Rogachev 6-3 HT 2-0 Niva Dolbizno Niva Dolbizno BLR1
18.06.2023 Niva Dolbizno Niva Dolbizno 0-5 HT 0-2 Dnepr Rogachev Dnepr Rogachev BLR1
POST-MATCH Niva Dolbizno vs Dnepr Rogachev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niva Dolbizno beat Dnepr Rogachev 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Dnepr Rogachev at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Dnepr Rogachev led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Niva Dolbizno and 5.50 for Dnepr Rogachev.

What was the final score of Niva Dolbizno vs Dnepr Rogachev?

Niva Dolbizno 3-1 Dnepr Rogachev in the Belarus - 1st Division on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niva Dolbizno vs Dnepr Rogachev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dnepr Rogachev win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Niva Dolbizno 33%, draw 25%, Dnepr Rogachev 42%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dnepr Rogachev), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dnepr Rogachev) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BLR1 More Belarus - 1st Division
16 Jun 2024
17:00 Orsha vs Dinamo Minsk II Analysis →