Le Havre (K) 5-1 Saint-Étienne (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
26%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.18
Over 2.5
45%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
20%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+5.6pp
33%
Draw
25%
+8.1pp
26%
Away Win
39%
-13.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
42%
+13.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
58%
-13.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.7pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Havre (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / -51%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
Crosses 15.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Havre (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K)
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.93 xG 0.54
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 3
429 Passes 381
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 8
2 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.02.2024 Le Havre (K) Le Havre (K) 4-2 HT 2-0 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Havre (K)
5-1
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K)
3.94 xG 1.62
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
308 Passes 412
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
34 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Le Havre (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Havre (K) swept aside Saint-Étienne (K) 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Le Havre (K) as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Le Havre (K) had 45% of the ball to Saint-Étienne (K)'s 55%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 3.94 to 1.62.

What was the final score of Le Havre (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)?

Le Havre (K) 5-1 Saint-Étienne (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Havre (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Havre (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Le Havre (K) 41%, draw 33%, Saint-Étienne (K) 26%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Le Havre (K)), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Le Havre (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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