Fransa U20 1-2 Fas U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.52
2-3 Goals
46%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.4
6+ Goals
6%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 26% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
65%
-13.7pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.9pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+10.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fransa U20 EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Fas U20 EU Bookmakers 17%
-85% / -85% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Fransa U20 vs Fas U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fas U20 squeezed past Fransa U20 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Fransa U20 at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Fransa U20 vs Fas U20?

Fransa U20 1-2 Fas U20 in the Friendlies on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fransa U20 vs Fas U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fransa U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Fransa U20 51%, draw 24%, Fas U20 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fransa U20) ✗ BTTS No
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