Karadağ U19 2-3 Arnavutluk U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
23%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.51
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 29% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+5.8pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
23%
Away Win
32%
-9.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karadağ U19 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Arnavutluk U19 EU Bookmakers 36%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
408 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Karadağ U19 vs Arnavutluk U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arnavutluk U19 nicked a narrow win over Karadağ U19 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Karadağ U19 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Karadağ U19 vs Arnavutluk U19?

Karadağ U19 2-3 Arnavutluk U19 in the Friendlies on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karadağ U19 vs Arnavutluk U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karadağ U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Karadağ U19 47%, draw 30%, Arnavutluk U19 23%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Karadağ U19) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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