York United 1-2 Pacific FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 11 Oct 2024

York United
1-2 HT 1-0
Pacific FC
📅11/10/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2024

York United vs Pacific FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.86
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.08
6+ Goals
10%
19.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 34% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+7.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

York United v Pacific FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Pacific FC EU Bookmakers 34%
-22% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.30/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.10
-1% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
369 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
22.8 Crosses 14.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5

York United vs Pacific FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Pacific FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.90 xG 1.39
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
388 Passes 341
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.08.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 1-1 HT 1-1 York United York United KAPL
20.06.2024 York United York United 2-0 HT 1-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
05.05.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 2-0 HT 1-0 York United York United CAPL
12.10.2023 Pacific FC Pacific FC 1-0 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
18.09.2023 York United York United 1-4 HT 0-2 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
15.07.2023 York United York United 0-0 HT 0-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL

York United 1-2 Pacific FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York United
1-2
AWAY Pacific FC
0.93 xG 1.44
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 12
331 Passes 317
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH York United vs Pacific FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pacific FC nicked a narrow win over York United 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Pacific FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, York United had 51% of the ball to Pacific FC's 49%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.93 to 1.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pacific FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for York United and 1.33 for Pacific FC.

What was the final score of York United vs Pacific FC?

York United 1-2 Pacific FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York United vs Pacific FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pacific FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split York United 35%, draw 27%, Pacific FC 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pacific FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pacific FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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