Suriye 1-0 Tacikistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies - Copa del Rey, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.3pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suriye EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tacikistan EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +62% / +62%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +100%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
Crosses 18.0
Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suriye
1-0
AWAY Tacikistan
0.59 xG 0.70
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
333 Passes 375
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Box Touches 12
8 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Suriye vs Tacikistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suriye squeezed past Tacikistan 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Suriye as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Suriye had 48% of the ball to Tacikistan's 52%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.59 to 0.70.

What was the final score of Suriye vs Tacikistan?

Suriye 1-0 Tacikistan in the Friendlies - Copa del Rey on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suriye vs Tacikistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suriye win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Suriye 48%, draw 27%, Tacikistan 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suriye), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Suriye) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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