Tayland 3-1 Filipinler — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies - Copa del Rey, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.27
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
13%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.23
Over 2.5
46%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
75%
-8.1pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.9pp
13%
Away Win
9%
+4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tayland EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Filipinler EU Bookmakers 11%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-21% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
441 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tayland
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Filipinler
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.19 xG 0.49
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
441 Passes 334
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2022 Tayland Tayland 4-0 HT 2-0 Filipinler Filipinler AFF
14.12.2021 Filipinler Filipinler 1-2 HT 0-1 Tayland Tayland AFF
21.11.2018 Filipinler Filipinler 1-1 HT 0-0 Tayland Tayland AFF
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tayland
3-1
AWAY Filipinler
1.65 xG 0.40
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
264 Passes 150
74% Pass Accuracy 60%
39 Box Touches 7
25 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tayland vs Filipinler
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tayland got the better of Filipinler 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tayland as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tayland had 59% of the ball to Filipinler's 41%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.65 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tayland had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Tayland and 0.67 for Filipinler.

What was the final score of Tayland vs Filipinler?

Tayland 3-1 Filipinler in the Friendlies - Copa del Rey on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tayland vs Filipinler?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tayland win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Tayland 67%, draw 21%, Filipinler 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tayland) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tayland) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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