Kalisz 1-1 Hutnik Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.29
6+ Goals
14%
11.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+2.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.3pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalisz EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Hutnik Krakow EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.77/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.15
+16% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalisz
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Hutnik Krakow
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2024 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 2-1 HT 1-1 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
22.09.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 3-0 HT 3-0 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
06.05.2023 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 0-1 HT 0-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
02.10.2022 Kalisz Kalisz 2-1 HT 1-0 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
09.04.2022 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 2-0 HT 1-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
25.09.2021 Kalisz Kalisz 2-0 HT 1-0 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalisz
1-1
AWAY Hutnik Krakow
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kalisz vs Hutnik Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalisz and Hutnik Krakow couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kalisz at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Kalisz had 43% of the ball to Hutnik Krakow's 57%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kalisz had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kalisz and 0.83 for Hutnik Krakow.

What was the final score of Kalisz vs Hutnik Krakow?

Kalisz 1-1 Hutnik Krakow in the Poland - 2nd Division on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalisz vs Hutnik Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalisz win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kalisz 46%, draw 23%, Hutnik Krakow 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kalisz), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kalisz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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