Hutnik Krakow 2-1 Kalisz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
27%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.74
Over 2.5
53%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.86
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.06
6+ Goals
8%
19.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
39%
+7.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
27%
Away Win
34%
-6.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
54%
-6.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
46%
+6.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hutnik Krakow EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalisz EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +22%
1.55/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.08
+3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hutnik Krakow
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Kalisz
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
22.09.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 3-0 HT 3-0 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
06.05.2023 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 0-1 HT 0-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
02.10.2022 Kalisz Kalisz 2-1 HT 1-0 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
09.04.2022 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 2-0 HT 1-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
25.09.2021 Kalisz Kalisz 2-0 HT 1-0 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
01.05.2021 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 0-2 HT 0-1 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hutnik Krakow
2-1
AWAY Kalisz
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hutnik Krakow vs Kalisz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hutnik Krakow edged past Kalisz 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hutnik Krakow as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hutnik Krakow had 52% of the ball to Kalisz's 48%, shots finished 8-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kalisz led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hutnik Krakow and 1.67 for Kalisz.

What was the final score of Hutnik Krakow vs Kalisz?

Hutnik Krakow 2-1 Kalisz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hutnik Krakow vs Kalisz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hutnik Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hutnik Krakow 47%, draw 26%, Kalisz 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hutnik Krakow), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hutnik Krakow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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