Olimpia Grudziadz 2-1 Jastrzebie Zdroj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.68
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.38
6+ Goals
10%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 31%
-15% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
1.24/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.59
-21% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
25.09.2023 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 3-2 HT 0-2 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
16.07.2020 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 0-0 HT 0-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL1
26.10.2019 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 2-0 HT 1-0 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
2-1
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Olimpia Grudziadz vs Jastrzebie Zdroj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpia Grudziadz edged past Jastrzebie Zdroj 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Olimpia Grudziadz as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Olimpia Grudziadz had 60% of the ball to Jastrzebie Zdroj's 40%, shots finished 17-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Jastrzebie Zdroj led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Olimpia Grudziadz and 1.67 for Jastrzebie Zdroj.

What was the final score of Olimpia Grudziadz vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Olimpia Grudziadz 2-1 Jastrzebie Zdroj in the Poland - 2nd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpia Grudziadz vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpia Grudziadz win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Olimpia Grudziadz 41%, draw 28%, Jastrzebie Zdroj 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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