Lech Poznan II 0-1 Wisla Pulawy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.55
No
53%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
4.3
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
2.98
6+ Goals
8%
9.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.3 — our 29% vs market 18.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-1.8pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.7pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lech Poznan II EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Pulawy EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.09/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/2.36
-20% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -44%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lech Poznan II
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Wisla Pulawy
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2023 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 2-2 HT 2-1 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II POL2
30.10.2022 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II 1-1 HT 1-1 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POL2
28.11.2021 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 1-2 HT 1-1 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II POL2
07.08.2021 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II 4-1 HT 2-0 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POL2
POST-MATCH Lech Poznan II vs Wisla Pulawy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Pulawy squeezed past Lech Poznan II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wisla Pulawy as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lech Poznan II had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Lech Poznan II and 1.25 for Wisla Pulawy.

What was the final score of Lech Poznan II vs Wisla Pulawy?

Lech Poznan II 0-1 Wisla Pulawy in the Poland - 2nd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lech Poznan II vs Wisla Pulawy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wisla Pulawy win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lech Poznan II 28%, draw 31%, Wisla Pulawy 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wisla Pulawy), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wisla Pulawy) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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