Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-2 Centro Atletico Fenix — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.8
Over
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
38%
4-5
22%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.7pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.1pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Centro Atletico Fenix EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -15%
1.43/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.27
+13% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Centro Atletico Fenix
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
07.04.2024 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-3 HT 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
03.09.2023 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
21.07.2023 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 0-1 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
20.02.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-1 HT 1-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
23.10.2022 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 0-3 HT 0-3 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
05.06.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 HT 1-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1-2
AWAY Centro Atletico Fenix
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Centro Atletico Fenix
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Centro Atletico Fenix edged past Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Centro Atletico Fenix made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 53% of the ball to Centro Atletico Fenix's 47%, shots finished 6-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 0.50 for Centro Atletico Fenix.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Centro Atletico Fenix?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-2 Centro Atletico Fenix in the Uruguay - Premier League on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Centro Atletico Fenix?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 38%, draw 31%, Centro Atletico Fenix 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✗ Under 2.5
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