Centro Atletico Fenix 1-3 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

Centro Atletico Fenix
1-3 HT 1-1
Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Centro Atletico Fenix vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
31%
-5.8pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.5pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Centro Atletico Fenix v Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.12/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.93
-6% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.2

Centro Atletico Fenix vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
21.07.2023 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 0-1 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
20.02.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-1 HT 1-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
23.10.2022 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 0-3 HT 0-3 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
05.06.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 HT 1-0 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
20.10.2021 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-1 HT 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU

Centro Atletico Fenix 1-3 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix
1-3
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Centro Atletico Fenix vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) got the better of Centro Atletico Fenix 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Liverpool FC (Montevideo) made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Centro Atletico Fenix had 47% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 53%, shots finished 12-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Centro Atletico Fenix and 1.50 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).

What was the final score of Centro Atletico Fenix vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Centro Atletico Fenix 1-3 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Centro Atletico Fenix vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Centro Atletico Fenix win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Centro Atletico Fenix 39%, draw 25%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 36%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Centro Atletico Fenix) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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