Cerro 3-0 Rampla Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rampla Juniors EU Bookmakers 32%
-17% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.77/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/2.14
-40% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / -46%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
334 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 169 · 61%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rampla Juniors
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
22.10.2022 Cerro Cerro 0-0 HT 0-0 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU2
16.10.2022 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors 0-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Cerro URU2
03.09.2022 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors 2-2 HT 1-1 Cerro Cerro URU2
11.11.2021 Cerro Cerro 1-2 HT 1-1 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU2
16.11.2019 Cerro Cerro 0-1 HT 0-0 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
16.05.2015 Cerro Cerro 2-0 HT 1-0 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro
3-0
AWAY Rampla Juniors
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Cerro vs Rampla Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro cruised past Rampla Juniors 3-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Cerro found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cerro had 36% of the ball to Rampla Juniors's 64%, shots finished 10-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cerro and 0.83 for Rampla Juniors.

What was the final score of Cerro vs Rampla Juniors?

Cerro 3-0 Rampla Juniors in the Uruguay - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro vs Rampla Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cerro 38%, draw 28%, Rampla Juniors 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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