Nacional de Football vs Cerro Largo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional de Football v Cerro Largo — Team-Based Signals
Nacional de Football vs Cerro Largo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Nacional de Football
URU
1-0
HT 1-0
Cerro Largo
URU
0-0
HT 0-0
Cerro Largo
URU
1-1
HT 0-0
Cerro Largo
URU
0-0
HT 0-0
Nacional de Football
URU
0-2
HT 0-1
Nacional de Football
URU
Nacional de Football 1-0 Cerro Largo — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional de Football squeezed past Cerro Largo 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Nacional de Football had 60% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 40%, shots finished 15-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nacional de Football and 0.50 for Cerro Largo.
What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Cerro Largo?
Nacional de Football 1-0 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Cerro Largo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 50%, draw 26%, Cerro Largo 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.