Elgin City 2-2 Aberdeen II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 11 Oct 2025

Elgin City
2-2 HT 1-2
Aberdeen II
📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Scotland - Challenge Cup – 2025/2026

Elgin City vs Aberdeen II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.42
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.89
Over 2.5
65%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.6
No
39%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
6.19
2-3 Goals
39%
2.09
4-5 Goals
28%
2.41
6+ Goals
18%
4.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
67%
+0.4pp
17%
Draw
19%
-1.8pp
16%
Away Win
15%
+1.5pp
35%
Under 2.5
31%
+3.9pp
65%
Over 2.5
69%
-3.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.4pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elgin City v Aberdeen II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elgin City EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen II EU Bookmakers 17%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
2.46/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/3.31
-5% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -30%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
376 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Elgin City vs Aberdeen II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elgin City and Aberdeen II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Elgin City at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Elgin City vs Aberdeen II?

Elgin City 2-2 Aberdeen II in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elgin City vs Aberdeen II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elgin City win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Elgin City 67%, draw 17%, Aberdeen II 16%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Elgin City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elgin City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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