Hamilton 1-2 Annan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
44%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.43
Over 2.5
48%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.53
No
55%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
20%
2.61
6+ Goals
11%
6.42
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.93 — our 30% vs market 14.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+8.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
44%
Away Win
55%
-10.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+15.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-15.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
61%
-16.1pp
55%
BTTS No
39%
+16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Annan Athletic EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
275 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Annan Athletic
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
06.04.2024 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-3 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
10.02.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 2-3 HT 0-1 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
28.11.2023 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-2 HT 1-2 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
29.09.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 5-0 HT 1-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
06.10.2020 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 3-1 HT 3-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKLK
14.07.2018 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKLK
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs Annan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annan Athletic squeezed past Hamilton 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Annan Athletic as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Hamilton and 1.50 for Annan Athletic.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Annan Athletic?

Hamilton 1-2 Annan Athletic in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Annan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Annan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 30%, draw 26%, Annan Athletic 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Annan Athletic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Annan Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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