IFK Lulea 3-4 IFK Östersund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İSÇD4, 11 Oct 2025

📅11/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.7pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-2.9pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Lulea EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Östersund EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.06/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.72/1.64
-48% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +106% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Lulea
1W-3D-1L
AWAY IFK Östersund
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
21.09.2024 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea 1-1 HT 1-0 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund İSÇ4
21.04.2024 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund 2-2 HT 2-2 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea İSÇ4
23.09.2023 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea 4-1 HT 0-0 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund İSÇ4
03.06.2023 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund 0-0 HT 0-0 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea İSÇ4
24.09.2022 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea 2-3 HT 0-1 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Lulea vs IFK Östersund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Östersund nicked a narrow win over IFK Lulea 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was IFK Lulea at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for IFK Lulea and 1.40 for IFK Östersund.

What was the final score of IFK Lulea vs IFK Östersund?

IFK Lulea 3-4 IFK Östersund in the İSÇD4 on 11/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Lulea vs IFK Östersund?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Lulea win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split IFK Lulea 46%, draw 23%, IFK Östersund 31%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IFK Lulea) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Lulea) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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