IFK Lulea 1-1 IFK Östersund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.8pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.0pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.1pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Lulea EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Östersund EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.12/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.56
-41% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Lulea
1W-2D-1L
AWAY IFK Östersund
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
21.04.2024 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund 2-2 HT 2-2 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea İSÇ4
23.09.2023 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea 4-1 HT 0-0 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund İSÇ4
03.06.2023 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund 0-0 HT 0-0 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea İSÇ4
24.09.2022 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea 2-3 HT 0-1 IFK Östersund IFK Östersund İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Lulea vs IFK Östersund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Lulea and IFK Östersund shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was IFK Lulea at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for IFK Lulea and 1.50 for IFK Östersund.

What was the final score of IFK Lulea vs IFK Östersund?

IFK Lulea 1-1 IFK Östersund in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Lulea vs IFK Östersund?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Lulea win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split IFK Lulea 43%, draw 20%, IFK Östersund 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IFK Lulea), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Lulea) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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