Vanersborgs IF 1-1 Lidköpings FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.1pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.7pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs IF EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lidköpings FK EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
0.57/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.84
-70% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanersborgs IF
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Lidköpings FK
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
01.06.2024 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
19.09.2020 Lidköpings FK Lidköpings FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Vanersborgs IF Vanersborgs IF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vanersborgs IF
1-1
AWAY Lidköpings FK
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs IF vs Lidköpings FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs IF and Lidköpings FK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Vanersborgs IF at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Vanersborgs IF had 46% of the ball to Lidköpings FK's 54%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vanersborgs IF and 0.50 for Lidköpings FK.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs IF vs Lidköpings FK?

Vanersborgs IF 1-1 Lidköpings FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs IF vs Lidköpings FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vanersborgs IF win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs IF 48%, draw 21%, Lidköpings FK 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vanersborgs IF), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vanersborgs IF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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