Stenungsund 1-1 IFK Kumla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.43
Over 2.5
64%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.46
No
34%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
38%
-1.5pp
64%
Over 2.5
62%
+1.5pp
66%
BTTS Yes
64%
+2.1pp
34%
BTTS No
36%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenungsund EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Kumla EU Bookmakers 33%
-18% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.15/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.88
-40% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenungsund
1W-0D-3L
AWAY IFK Kumla
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
01.06.2024 IFK Kumla 4-1 HT 2-0 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
03.04.2022 IFK Kumla 1-0 HT 1-0 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
28.11.2021 Stenungsund Stenungsund 3-1 HT 2-1 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
18.09.2021 IFK Kumla 3-1 HT 2-0 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Stenungsund vs IFK Kumla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenungsund and IFK Kumla shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Stenungsund at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (66%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, IFK Kumla led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Stenungsund and 2.25 for IFK Kumla.

What was the final score of Stenungsund vs IFK Kumla?

Stenungsund 1-1 IFK Kumla in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenungsund vs IFK Kumla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stenungsund win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Stenungsund 44%, draw 23%, IFK Kumla 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stenungsund), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stenungsund) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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