Umea FC Akademi 4-2 Kiruna FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
17%
4.19
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.98
Over 2.5
66%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.41
No
37%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
29%
X/2
12%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
59%
-2.4pp
17%
Draw
21%
-3.5pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.9pp
34%
Under 2.5
30%
+3.5pp
66%
Over 2.5
70%
-3.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
67%
-3.8pp
37%
BTTS No
33%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umea FC Akademi EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kiruna FF EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.33/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.41
-43% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
424 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umea FC Akademi
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Kiruna FF
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
20.04.2024 Kiruna FF Kiruna FF 2-0 HT 1-0 Umea FC Akademi İSÇ4
24.09.2022 Umea FC Akademi 1-2 HT 0-1 Kiruna FF Kiruna FF İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Umea FC Akademi vs Kiruna FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umea FC Akademi saw off Kiruna FF 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Umea FC Akademi as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kiruna FF led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Umea FC Akademi and 2.00 for Kiruna FF.

What was the final score of Umea FC Akademi vs Kiruna FF?

Umea FC Akademi 4-2 Kiruna FF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umea FC Akademi vs Kiruna FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Umea FC Akademi win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Umea FC Akademi 57%, draw 17%, Kiruna FF 26%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Umea FC Akademi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Umea FC Akademi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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